The Comeback Girl

By Keith Boykin
Tuesday, January 8 2008, 11:26PM
in politics

They said it would never happen. They said the Clintons were politically dead and would never recover from a huge loss in Iowa and the projected loss in New Hampshire. But something funny happened on the way to the nomination tonight. Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton upset Barack Obama by pulling out a stunning victory. The polls were completely wrong, and at the end of the day, the pundits were left scratching their heads.

Last month I predicted Barack Obama would win New Hampshire and Hillary Clinton would win Iowa. As it turns out, I had it completely backwards. But oddly enough, I predicted the Republican result completely accurately in both Iowa and New Hampshire. I predicted Huckabee, Romney and McCain would finish first, second and third in Iowa and McCain, Romney and Huckabee would finish first, second and third in New Hampshire. Maybe I'm too close to the Democratic field to make objective analysis.

But in any event, there's something going on in the Democratic Party. The turnout in New Hampshire was historic. Democrats are motivated like never before to elect a president, and it looks like it will be a woman or an African American as the Democratic nominee.

The speeches Tuesday night set the tone for the race to come. Edwards vowed to fight onto the convention and be a voice for the 48 states that had not spoken and for the millions of Americans whose voices are seldom heard in politics. Obama spoke next and articulated an upbeat message of hope for the future of his campaign with the theme "Yes we can." And then came Hillary.

Hillary Clinton said exactly what she needed to say. She said that by listening to the voices of the people of New Hampshire she was able to find her own voice. That's not only a powerful message but a powerful narrative that suggests she heard what the critics had to say. So she decided to be herself, she took over her campaign, she let herself (almost) cry, and she tapped into the women's vote in a way that the old, cold Hillary Clinton of Iowa could never do. She even kicked Bill Clinton, Madeleine Albright and Wesley Clark off the stage for the victory speech and filled it with young people who represent the future of America. New Hampshire provided dramatic political theater and it had the potential to become a defining and transformative moment for Clinton's campaign.

If Hillary Clinton wins the nomination, she can look back at the New Hampshire primary as the place where she began to turn it around. And if Barack Obama should lose the nomination, he might point to New Hampshire also. I find it very odd and troubling that the polls were so far off in projecting the outcome of the Democratic race, and immediately I thought about the history of polling when black candidates run for office. But no matter what happened with the polls in New Hampshire, we have a good old fashioned race on our hands.

There will be no coronation of Saint Barack or Queen Hillary this year. Instead, the Democrats will get what they deserve -- a fair chance to evaluate several good candidates and decide which one they like the best.


Comments (8)

sfsinger

I don't think the Clintons want to give us a fair chance to evaluate good candidates. I think they want to distort the imagery, lie, and put fear in voters into NOT voting for any other candidate but Hillary. They're no better than Bush. I listened to one of the speeches Bill gave earlier and his basically dissed Obama's plan for a pull-out in Iraq as a faerietale. Let's not forget that people voted for an Iraq pull-out and the Democrats can't pull their heads out their butts long enough to stop giving Bush a blank check to keep waging the takeover - I refuse to call a war. Anyway, I was on the fence about who to vote for. I know who I will not be voting for now.


elg

I'm glad that Hillary won in New Hampshire. Now there's a real race between her and Obama on the Democratic side. Both Hillary and Obama will be better for it.


Ostend Street

Hey -- may the best person win?????? Congratulations to the Clintons. Looks like a tough fight until Feb 5, 2008.


Deacon

Let's be real she only won by a slim 3% margin, so let's hold off calling her the "Come back kid". If she wants to run on experience then what has she done in her 8 years compared to Obama's 8 years on the state level and his 3 years in the senate......


MLee

"But something funny happened on the way to the nomination tonight. Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton upset Barack Obama by pulling out a stunning victory."

What happened is voters lie to opinion polls when issues involve race. I learned that when a proposal to repel affirmative action won in my state. I still have hope for Obama since Clinton's margin of victory over him was very slim, although I would not be greatly disappointed if Clinton won the nomination.


Doug Cooper-Spencer

I'm waiting for the Obama excavations- - when we learn more about him. But you're right, the Dems do have a great cast of candidates. I'm still scratching my head over who I'm even leaning towards. That's just how hot this whole Democratic campaign is. Nah, Obama doesn't have me sold yet. Still haven't gotten over the McClurkin thing.


Liquid Fonts

Did Hillary really tap into the womens vote when she(almost)cried that one time as the media is saying?
Or is it possible that women today aren't as sympathetic to emotional displays?

I can think of plenty of women who find emotional behavior unacceptable in a professional environment and hate it when other women do it because they say it sets them back.

Now men seeing Hillary(almost)cry might be another story. Perhaps Hillary won over more men.


niclas

Hi,

A very clear, new presentation! Congratulations! And very few promotion buttons!

Let me guess, as of this pre election campaign, the day of New Hampshire will be hardly to remember. The victory of Mrs. Clinton was just marginal, not symbol-like.

In contrary the DAY OF IOWA already marks history. This peaceful, certainly a little laid-back part of America, the citizens of Des Moines (I know them quite well), these 95% white people, mostly of northern European origin, they voted for Obama. Obama invited them, republicans, democrats and independents, to come over and old and young people, handicapped and worked-out people followed him. And CNN sent these pictures all over the globe. That was striking, an almost biblical procedure. Having once seen these pictures they will stay - unforgettable.

I think there are three points of major importance which allow Barrack Obama to emerge far above the average level of candidates:

First: the basis of power
Mitt Romney probably spends the most for personal promotion. He certainly is a brilliant manager, but on top of the state, a manager? He will stay strictly linked to the big money. But there is a strong need of a person who hears the voice of the people and recognizes that voice. Obama is the most convincing candidate.

Second: health-system
47 Million people without any assurance, any safety in case of illness or accident, that's a shame. Bush didn't make any proposals and his rep. successors will follow his line. The Clintons failed to establish major improvements. Voting Obama means a real chance to find a solution in the next four years. Obama is the far most convincing candidate.

Third: racial inequality
For many people that's a century lasting trauma. Many political commentators say, their will never be a black American president. Because the average white American would never elect a black leader of a civil rights movement for president. That sounds cynical, but may be they are right. Obama offers a new way, unimaginable just two years. His father from Kenya, his mother from Kansas, they met just halfway at the island of Hawaii. The remain of the relation is named Barack. He is a symbol of love, not war, not violence, not wounds.

A president Obama will stand in the world like a pylon, a centerpile of huge bridge, connecting continents, religions, peoples.

NO OTHER CANDIDATE CAN OFFER THIS. OBAMA MEANS BIG HOPE.

He is the far most authentic candidate.

Sorry, a little long, but I had to say it.

Stay on!

Niclas


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